Monday, May 28, 2012

Risk & Commodities

About technology, business & management issues..


  During the last decade the commodities markets have experienced sharp fluctuations particularly strong price rise in oil prices, grains and some precious metals. This has led to farmers, industry, mining and petroleum related industries to suffer from year to year uncertainty.

The reasons are many: from long and protracted drought in the prairies of Russia and China, as the depletion of oil reserves in the Gulf of Mexico to the announcement by the U.S. government to support ethanol production based on corn.  So, how to establish mechanisms for producers, intermediaries and distributors to ensure a profit margin and create a foundation to grow their business?

Aristotle  mentioned  Thales of Milete as the inventor of the concept of futures contract by menas of an olive harvest in ancient Greece. Thales was  such an accurate predictor of how the conditions of the olive harvest would be months before it and this allowed him to establish price contracts with producers which in turn guaranteed in advance the price of it, avoiding both the vagaries of the market wreck at harvest.

But these financial vehicles not seem to have done to implement in many industries whether unions or organizations associated regulators have decided not to implement or have not been able to craft the right model for it.

There is a whole opportunity for the development of financial engineering vehicles to establish conditions for protection against the risk of volatility commodity prices.

The question remains whether there will be no other interests,  which are clearly  blocking the establishment of such vehicles.

www.clarensyst.com.mx

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